False Favourites – A Review

Horse racing systems fall into 2 categories, the paid and the free. There are some people who believe that unless a horse racing system costs a veritable “arm and a leg” it cannot be any good. I have never subscribed to the more you pay the better it must be school of thought when it comes to horse racing systems and Jonathan Burgesses False Favourite proves my point.

False Favourites is at less than £20 one of the least expensive systems on the market today but it is one of the best. The first point that strikes you about this e-book is its sheer size with 216 packed pages.

As the title False Favourites suggest this horse racing system is based on the concept of finding betting favourites that are unlikely to win. Once you have found such a favourite you lay it to lose on the Betfair Betting Exchange. In False Favourites, Jonathan takes you through an assessment of why favourites lose horse races.

The basic concept is to find horses that are likely to be forecast favorites, (I use the Racing Post web site to discover those). Providing they are priced on Betfair at less than 4.7 they represent a possible lay bet. The next stage involves looking for negative and positive features that might influence the horse’s ability to win or lose the race. But that is only part of the process because we all know that poor horses can win races. The next stage is to compare the negative and positive features with the favourite’s closest market rivals. Where negative features are found for the favourite and you discover positive reasons for at least one of its opponents being capable of winning you can lay the favourite.

I am not absolutely certain that False Favourites can be truly classed as a horse racing “system” it is more a selection method. The difference between these two definitions is a fine one but in most racing systems the rules you look for 3 or 4 factors and if they apply you have a bet or lay. In False Favourites the basic idea is to find favourites who have more negative factors than the competition.

False Favourites also contains a wealth of statistical information relating to favourites both for flat and national hunt races. Include in the book are two bonus sections one dealing with how to trade on Betfair and the best times to la your bets. The second deals with the 10 deadly mistakes that 95% of punters make. This section alone is worth the purchase price of the book.

Darren Power of The Betting School has tested this method over a two month period and showed over 18 point profit after the deduction of the Betfair commission. On the downside this is not a horse racing system that provides an instant selection and it will, on an average racing day, take about 40 minutes to come up with your selections.

This is not a “get rich overnight” scheme but if you are looking for a method that allows you to consistently profit from horse racing and the Exchanges you can do a loot worse than get a copy of False Favourites.