Recently I was talking to a horse racing system expert who was telling me that he had excluded evening races from his selections as he considered the results were too unpredictable. His systems specialise in pinpointing winning bets and he has generally had a good record over the years. Therefore I was a little surprised when another expert who lays horse to lose on the Betfair Exchange told me exactly the same thing.
I have noticed that with my own favourite lay system that if a horse does win it is often in one of the later evening racing. Usually this is either the penultimate or final races of the evening. In consequence I now discard the last two races at evening meetings from my calculations.
I cannot help wondering if horses are a little like people, there are some “morning” people whilst others are “night” folk. Although I think it might be more that most horses are used to being up and about early in the morning and being tucked up in their stable quite early in the evening. Is it possible that the horses are quite simply tired by 8.30 or 9 pm? And could this have some effect on their form and be the cause of some horses not running up to their best?
I am no horse expert, never having worked in a stable or even ridden a race horse so this is no sort of expert opinion but just a thought. I might well be worth looking back at the last 2 races at evening meetings and see if anything significant appears. I have found that it is odd passing thoughts like this that can often be the key to the development of a good horse racing system.
As far as our Dee Dee Lays were concerned on Saturday it was a day of mixed fortunes. We had 4 selections all of which obliged but unfortunately 2 were outside of our betting limits and so were no bets. The other two selection obliged but Brink was right on the edge of our Maximum odds of 7/1 and although it was at time possible to get odds of under 8.0 it was higher than that at the off so we will call it a no bet.g. There is only one selection today and this is posted in Today’s Selection at www.premierbettingclub.com
Reminder this blog will only appear at www.premierbettingclub.com after Friday
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