Recently there have been a number of horse racing systems produced that rely on either a trainer or jockeys performances on specific courses. I cannot help wondering if these are really true systems and whether they warrant the price that some people are asking for them.
Most of the information can be easily obtained from either the form books or the online version of the Racing Post. I also question how relevant the information is in the long term. I accept that if you had backed every John Gosden 3 year old that runs over a mile to
1½ miles on the Newmarket July course you would have made a profit. He is currently having a 25% success rate in the races and showing a 57 point profit. But there is no guarantee that this rate of success will continue until he retires.
Trends and past statistics may form part of the research when looking for winners but you should not ignore current form. It is a fact that certain trainers will target specific races but unless their horse is good enough it will not win. Factors such as going, distance and past record on the course or at least courses that are similar have to be taken into account.
Just backing a horse because the trainer or jockey has been particularly successful in the past is no way to guarantee winners. Finding potential winners is a little bit like doing a jigsaw, you take all the little pieces and fit them together. Only when you have done that can you see the complete picture.
Having said that there is one runner that interests me today and it is Sir Michael Stouts Mushreq who runs in the 8.40 at Nottingham tonight. This is the horses first handicap and it has been running distances of up to a mile but tonight she tackles 11/4 miles. She was an expensive purchase at $850,000 and she could under her capable trainer turn out to be a good horse. Well worth watching tonight.
Both of our Lay bets yesterday were successful but outside of our suggested price limits so became no bets. Today we have 4 selections which you will find in the Todays Selection part of the blog at http://www.premierbettingclub.com
THis blog will be moving to http://www.premierbettingclub.com very soon
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