As someone who spends a lot of time trying to develop and test horse racing systems I find it can be very frustrating at times. It all starts off with an idea which can take weeks or months to formulate into a workable system. After all this work you begin the testing phase with each successful selection convincing you that you have found the holy grail and each failure sending you back to the drawing board again.
When developing a system it is important to analyse all unsuccessful bets to try and see if there is any common denominator. If it can be identified, is there a filter that can be added to the new system to improve it. The other problem is that the longer you work on an embryonic system the more attached to it you become. This is the danger period. There may come a time to admit that your baby does not have the potential to grow up into a strong workable system and even after all the work, blood sweat and tears it is time to abandon your offspring.
Yesterday was an interesting case in point, as you know we are publicly testing the Dee Dee Lay system on this web site. This gives everyone access to our test selections. So far I have been reasonably pleased with the results but yesterday our only lay selection of the day won at odds of 8.0 the very maximum that we recommend for the system. This meant a 7 point loss which whilst not catastrophic will mean that we are currently running at a loss for the current month.
Going back over our test so far (since 26th April) one common factor seems to be emerging. The vast majority of our unsuccessful bets have occurred at evening meetings. I touched on this briefly yesterday but I am now more convinced that for many systems it would be best to avoid evening racing. So from today I am adding the following filter to the Dee Dee Lay system, no evening meetings. At present I shall include twilight fixtures in my assessment but will monitor them closely.
The reason why I have given you this insight is to show contrary to popular belief system developers do not just pluck untested ideas out of thin air. The good ones spend a considerable time testing and fine tuning their programs before offering them for sale.
I am doing this testing publicly because so many so called systems on offer today are over the overpriced, over hyped and under tested. I am trying to show that not all systems are like this.
I do not know at the moment whether Dee Dee Lay will wither on the vine or grow to be a fully workable and profitable system. I think this is in the balance at the moment but if it does eventually reach the market place you can be assured it will be a fully tested and proven system.
If it does not work out then it will be back to the drawing board again. Today I have checked and wouldn’t you know the only possible selection is in the 20.20 at Southwell. This means there is no bet today.
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